CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX)Cboe Indices
14.84
-0.57
(-3.699%) ⇩
(Oct. 9, 2026, 3:15 p.m.
CDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 1:28 a.m. CDT
The VIX is currently trapped in a 'low-volatility complacency' zone, trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day averages while hovering near its 52-week lows. However, the options chain reveals a stark disconnect: while the spot price suggests calm, the derivatives market is screaming for chaos. The massive buildup of OTM call OI at extreme strikes (55+) implies that smart money is pricing in a 'black swan' event or geopolitical shock capable of doubling the index within weeks. The recent price action, which has been choppy and range-bound, is likely a prelude to a violent breakout given the asymmetric options positioning. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.141837 |
| MSTL | 0.143724 |
| AutoTheta | 0.151630 |
| AutoETS | 0.161608 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 37% |
| H-stat | 1.77 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.058 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.22 |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 1:28 a.m. CDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a sustained volatility spike, evidenced by massive out-of-the-money (OTM) call volume and open interest (OI) walls at strikes 55, 60, and 110+ for October and November expirations. This 'long gamma' setup suggests a bet on a sharp, rapid rise in fear levels. Conversely, put writers are heavily exposed at strikes 16-20, creating a significant downside risk if the index breaches these levels, while deep OTM puts show minimal activity, indicating a lack of hedging against extreme crashes compared to the bullish bets on volatility expansion.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -22.017866 |
| All Time High | 89.53 |
| All Time Low | 8.56 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 0 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 0 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 0 |
| Average Volume | 0 |
| Average Volume10Days | 0 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 0 |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | LOW |
| Day High | 15.34 |
| Day Low | 14.77 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | CXI |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/Chicago |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | CDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 15.4888 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.6487999 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.041888326 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -22.017866 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 35.3 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -20.46 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.5796034 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 13.38 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.46 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.10911809 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 13.38 - 35.3 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 631,267,200,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | Cboe Indices |
| Fullday Change | -0.5699997 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -3.698895 |
| Fullday Price | 14.84 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -18,000,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Long Name | CBOE Volatility Index |
| Market | cboe_market |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_INDEXVIX |
| Open | 15.34 |
| Previous Close | 15.41 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Type | INDEX |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.5699997 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -3.698895 |
| Regular Market Day High | 15.34 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 14.77 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 14.77 - 15.34 |
| Regular Market Open | 15.34 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 15.41 |
| Regular Market Price | 14.84 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,791,576,901 |
| Regular Market Volume | 0 |
| Short Name | CBOE Volatility Index |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | ^VIX |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 0 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 18.068 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -3.2280006 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.17865843 |
| Type Disp | Index |
| Volume | 0 |