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CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX)

Cboe Indices
16.06 +0.29 (1.839%) ⇧ (June 3, 2026, 3:15 p.m. CDT)
Hot Take | May 30, 2026, 12:52 a.m. CDT

The VIX is flashing a definitive 'risk-off' signal despite the underlying equity market's recent rally. Currently at 15.32, the index has decisively broken below both its 50-day (19.95) and 200-day (18.38) averages, trading near its 52-week low of 13.38. This technical breakdown confirms that the recent surge in risk appetite is fragile; the market is pricing in a potential correction where fear will return quickly. The options flow reinforces this, with traders building a heavy put wall around the 16-20 range, suggesting they view the current low as a temporary pause before a deeper dive into the 13-15 zone.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.148950
MSTL0.221125
AutoETS0.221816
AutoTheta0.229712

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 71%
H-stat 1.28
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.103
Excess Kurtosis -0.58

As of May 30, 2026, 12:52 a.m. CDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a sustained decline in volatility, evidenced by massive put volume and open interest (OI) at strikes 16-20 across June, July, and August expirations. Call activity is heavily skewed toward protective hedges (OTM puts) rather than directional bets, with significant OI walls at 22-25 strikes indicating a 'floor' expectation. The extreme IV spikes on deep OTM puts suggest fear of a sharp, rapid drop below current levels, while call IV remains suppressed relative to put IV, confirming a bearish skew in near-term sentiment.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -10.44861
All Time High 89.53
All Time Low 8.56
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 0
Average Daily Volume10 Day 0
Average Daily Volume3 Month 0
Average Volume 0
Average Volume10Days 0
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 0
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence LOW
Day High 16.63
Day Low 15.94
Esg Populated 0
Exchange CXI
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/Chicago
Exchange Timezone Short Name CDT
Fifty Day Average 19.5296
Fifty Day Average Change -3.4696007
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.17765856
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -10.44861
Fifty Two Week High 35.3
Fifty Two Week High Change -19.24
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5450425
Fifty Two Week Low 13.38
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.6799994
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.2002989
Fifty Two Week Range 13.38 - 35.3
First Trade Date Milliseconds 631,267,200,000
Full Exchange Name Cboe Indices
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -18,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 0
Language en-US
Long Name CBOE Volatility Index
Market cboe_market
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_INDEXVIX
Open 15.97
Previous Close 15.77
Price Hint 2
Quote Type INDEX
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.289999
Regular Market Change Percent 1.8389283
Regular Market Day High 16.63
Regular Market Day Low 15.94
Regular Market Day Range 15.94 - 16.63
Regular Market Open 15.97
Regular Market Previous Close 15.77
Regular Market Price 16.06
Regular Market Time 1,780,517,701
Regular Market Volume 0
Short Name CBOE Volatility Index
Source Interval 15
Symbol ^VIX
Tradeable 0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 0
Two Hundred Day Average 18.3902
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.3302002
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.1267088
Type Disp Index
Volume 0